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By Dave McArthur – May 2009



“The following submission was written in haste and is part of an on-going communication with councillors and mayors in the Wellington region.

The general thrust of my campaign has been to ensure they are very aware of the potency of mineral oil and that all economies with systems based on low valuations of mineral oil (under $US100) are at risk of imminent implosion. This valuation comes with the caveat that valuation is also unsustainable longer term.

At the hearing I also amplified how our global food system is now based on a severe undervaluation of the resource and this puts us al at major risk of famine and warfare. I reminded Councillors of the wide spread “food riots” that occurred in 2008 when mineral oil prices were a little higher.

I also amplified on why the Wellington City public transport system is such an indictment of the Councillors, with no provision of light rail to serve the new $250 million regional hospital. Thus elderly, poor and infirm people remain stranded without decent shelter and directions and no integrated rail to the regions.

The GW Council had failed to provide me with its past and present predictions of mineral oil availability and price movements. Hence I was unable to provide commentary on their accuracy and reliability.”


Personal submission
on Greater Wellington Proposed
Regional Land Transport Programme 2009-12.

By Dave McArthur, May 2009

Good afternoon and thank you for taking out the time to hear my personal submission on the Proposed Regional Land Transport Programme 2009-12.
What stung me into action were reports that the GWRC is placing the proposed Basin Reserve flyover on its list of priorities and the Council’s seeming incapacity to articulate the stupidity of the Transmission Gully proposal.

In my initial April online submission I outlined the reasons why these proposals are insane (both psychotic and psychopathic) and pointed out how I had accurately predicted the current global economic implosion to Councils for over a decade.

In the 1990s I recall at considerable personal cost warning councillors in the region of the dangers of losing control of our electrical grids as we have. As predicted, the Wellington City trolley bus system is now at high risk of collapse, as is the general city electrical grid, while we have been left with very poor quality broadband potential considering the billions we have poured into the telecom corporations and an incoherent local 230-volt grid.

I recall using my submission re the music school proposal for Jack Illot Park to argue it should be designed to accommodate a light rail station on a light rail network reaching to the proposed new Wellington Regional Hospital and for the structure to bridge the city to its waterfront so we can better benefit from the new age of tourism in the Post Cheap Mineral Oil/Gas Age.

The new regional hospital is now finished and it is a stinging indictment of our Council’s attitude to the elderly and the infirm. As predicted the air travel industry is now in deep trouble and only maintained by massive taxpayer subsidies of all sorts while ship tourism is booming with Wellington ill-equipped to benefit from it. I recently read that the Australian ship tourist sector is the big growth area and Wellington now struggles to cope with the cruise liner arrivals. And, as the 1918 Great Flu epidemic showed, the intelligent use of shipping as a border control measure saved millions of lives.

Last year I used the Ngauranga-Airport Corridor submissions August 2008 to warn that we could expect a big dip in global mineral oil prices because there was a US presidential election coming up and that about this time in 2009 we could expect them to start rising again. This is precisely what happened. They are now $US60 a barrel – nearly double the December 2008 low. ($US60 may not sound much compared to last year’s peak price of $US147 a barrel but it will prove devastating to all economies, such as ours, which make addictive uses of mineral oil and whose systems are based on a valuation of mineral oil of $US25 a barrel. Expect our capacity to both maintain social systems and to purchase mineral oil to continue to diminish at a rapid rate with debt and unemployment escalating if the massive roading subsidies occur as planned i.e. mineral oil to become prohibitively expensive.

At that 2008 submission I suggested there is now a very high risk of catastrophic global war by 2013 because of our use of mineral oil/gas. Those predictions remain. Since that submission the US, UK and other Governments have started printing money on scale (“quantitative easing”) as an effective tax to replace the loss of mineral oil based wealth.

The social tension and disruption this will cause is going to be sudden and dramatic as middle class people suddenly find their savings certificates severely depreciated. I will just note that there are suddenly this year some very white eyed and shocked folk walking around my middleclass neighbourhood who are finding their job certificates, their education certificates, their house certificates etc don’t mean now. My experience is this situation provides the idea breeding ground for serious crime and ugly situations.

I seriously object to any more investment in new roading infrastructure as it will actively increase debt and destroy employment.
I believe I am representative of many low- paid people in New Zealand. We are being taxed massively to sustain inefficient, uneconomic and highly polluting car/truck systems that put us all at great risk. I estimate my wealth has been halved to maintain these systems over the last fifteen years – my super has been reduced 5 years, those of us who believe our children deserve an education have had to fund large student loans, the purchasing value of my income is approximately halved etc and there are many other hidden costs – including the needless murder of friends and acquaintances by our transport policies. (Check out the halving of the road toll last year when mineral oil had a more decent value on it – that saved $60 million a month subsidy alone).

We have to break this destructive spiral caused by policies based addictive uses of mineral oil. I worked for a couple of years for an energy efficiency firm in Petone. The bus train/bus trip from Houghton Valley usually took up to 90 minutes each way eg start 6.55 am bus and arrive as late as 8.30 at Petone. On rare occasions the transport system interconnected and the trip took 30 minutes i.e. arrive at 7.25. Because I had to work later I missed all the peak hour connections on the return trip with wait times of up to 40 minutes.
Eventually my employer gave me a firm car but I loathed the wasteful destruction of mineral oil reserves and was pleased when I was made redundant, much as I loved the work and the income. It was just hopeless.
To visit my parents in Greytown means catching a bus at 7.30 in Houghton Bay, train to Featherston, Bus to Greytown arriving about at their home just before 10am. Leave 2.00 pm bus Greytown-Carterton – train-bus – arriving home about 6.40 pm i.e. 7 of the 11 hours are spent travelling. That is a form of poverty.

My point is people are trapped in poverty and hopelessness by policies that coerce them to use private cars or pay even greater costs. Add soon the probability of war to that entrapment.
It is critical that the vast array of roading and air travel subsidies be identified and removed. The funds released must be invested in education, in health, in intelligent mass transit, broadband and dwelling systems, and in rail and shipping. (I will note while I am here that the “snapper card” system is a classic example of an unintelligent system and, I am sad to say, another indictment of a serious failure of the GWRC as a civic authority.)

If you find my April submission a bit extreme please make allowance for the fact that I find it difficult when my predictions of a massive loss of wealth because of our addictive use of mineral oil are being proven true with such unnerving accuracy. You can read my summary analysis below in my April submission. Key points I make are:

I welcome any questions and again thank you for your time.

Dave McArthur


The proposal to commit what will be $100millions to the Basin Reserve bridge is criminal. I know for a fact that the GWRC members have had the facts presented to them very clearly over the last decade. In particular it has been presented with the following reality:

All these submissions have now been supported by historical events.
Trillions of dollars of credit have been created in the last decade based on the delusion that we can value mineral oil at 0.1 cents a man-hour of labour and use it thus indefinitely. This state of institutional psychosis has now been proven unsustainable. Over the past generation our systems have destroyed over 1 trillion barrels of mineral oil i.e. expended 25000 trillion man-hours of labour. The recent rise to 0.2 cents a man-hour of labour equivalent is manifest as a multi-trillion dollar loss of wealth. Thus in many cases the value of house, employment, education, superannuation, stocks and shares and the money certificates has been decimated.

This process is set to escalate as demand for wasteful and destructive uses of mineral oil is sustained. The current rate of destruction is about 84 million barrels a day, a minor reduction of only about 1.4 million barrels a day despite a reduction of up to 40% of many global trades.

The reason this rate of destruction is being sustained is that Governments in countries like New Zealand are diverting money away from the development of intelligent rail systems, dwellings and electrical products, which reduces pollution and conserves our carbon potential. They are diverting it into the development of a lethal cocktail of actives. These include armaments, drugs and wasteful uses of mineral oil/gas (cars, trucks, jet travel, monocultural farming, non-recyclable plastic products etc). As a result the current trends towards greater, wealth disparity, increased household debt and poverty, worsened pollution, social disorder and general society breakdown are being exacerbated.

The Basin Reserve car/truck bridge is its regional infrastructure. Thus the proposed construction will divert $100 millions of regional funds away from sustainable activities to an investment based on a severe undervaluation of mineral oil. As a result, in the context of a near bankrupt GWRC region, it will accelerate the current loss of sustainable employment and general wealth of the region. It will form an effective act of war.

While I describe the undervaluation of mineral oil in terms of clinic definitions of insanity (psychopathy and psychosis) I believe councillors of the GWRC are sane and thus can be held responsible for their decisions in the same way that Bernard Maddof has been. There only difference between his $US50 billion Ponzi scheme and the global multi-trillion dollar mineral oil Ponzi scheme is the scale of the scam. The scam is based on a grand lie of revenue inflows as summed up in the equation “Energy = mineral oil”. This confusion of energy with a form it can take contravenes all physics and we persist with it at our peril.

The evidence against investment in a Basin Reserve car-truck bridge is before you, including in individual submissions to the GWRC and in the media e.g. National Radio programmes. My hope is that your good sense will prevail and you comprehend why such an investment is now criminal.

If you do ignore the evidence before you and you do proceed with the Basin Reserve proposal then, as the criminality of your actions become apparent in two or three years time, I will contribute to any class action against the individual councillors who approved this investment.


Sent:   Friday, 15 May 2009 3:39 p.m
To:   'davemcarthur@clear.net.nz'
Subject:   Regional Land Transport Oral Submission


Dear Dave

Oral Submission confirmation

Thank you for your submission on the proposed Regional Land Transport Programme. Your oral presentation in support of your submission is scheduled for Tuesday 26 May 2009 at 1pm.

The hearings will take place in Meeting Room 1 on the Ground Floor of the Regional Council Centre. Greater Wellington Regional Council is situated at 142-146 Wakefield Street, Wellington (next to the James Smith’s car park). It is best that you arrive at least 10 minutes early in case the submissions are running ahead of time.

I have set aside 10 minutes for your oral presentation. This includes time for the Hearings Subcommittee to ask you any questions of clarification.

I will ensure that both PowerPoint and overhead projector facilities are available for you to use. If you would like to make a PowerPoint presentation, please email your presentation to Lisa Smyth lisa.smyth@gw.govt.nz by 4pm on Friday 22 May.

A full copy of all submissions will be available for viewing at the hearings.

Please contact Lisa Smyth on (04) 8020357 if you require any other facilities for your presentation or have any questions regarding your oral presentation or the submission process.

Yours sincerely